North West

Lancaster

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office · Corrections log
Cat Smith
Cat SmithLabour · Lancaster and Wyre
238 people on asylum support in Lancaster

Rank 120 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 16.39 per 10,000 puts Lancaster in the 74th percentile. That means this area carries more asylum seekers per head than 74% of the country. 2 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 238 people at £107 per person per day is about £9.3M a year.

What asylum costs Lancaster

£5.4Mestimated hotel costs/year
£609Ksubsistence payments/year
£286KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 238 people on asylum support in Lancaster(0.26% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

How many asylum seekers are in Lancaster?

238 people were receiving Home Office asylum support in Lancaster at 30 June 2026, the most recent quarter published. That ranks 120th of 361 UK local authorities. It counts people on support at that date, which is not the number who claimed asylum there and not the number waiting for a decision.

How many asylum seekers per 10,000 people are in Lancaster?

16.39 per 10,000 residents, which places Lancaster in the 74th percentile of UK local authorities. It carries more people on asylum support per head than 74% of the country. Rate is the fair comparison between areas, because a large city carries more people than a small district at the same pressure per head.

Are there asylum hotels in Lancaster?

Not on the published figures. Lancaster recorded nobody in contingency accommodation at 30 June 2026, which is the category that includes hotels. The 238 people on asylum support there are recorded in dispersal housing or on subsistence-only support.

Who houses asylum seekers in Lancaster?

Serco holds the Home Office asylum accommodation contract for the region Lancaster sits in, under the Asylum Accommodation and Support Contracts. The contract covers a whole region rather than a single council, and the Home Office does not publish a council-by-council split of which properties sit under it.

Are all of them in Home Office accommodation in Lancaster?

No. 2 of the 238 on support in Lancaster, about 1%, receive subsistence only: a cash payment with no accommodation, usually because they are living with friends or family. The rest are in Home Office accommodation, which covers dispersal housing and hotels.

Lancaster: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Jun 2026. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

238
4903271630Dec 2015Jun 2026Peak Sept 2023Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Dec 20158
Mar 20168
Jun 201616
Sept 201617
Dec 201685
Mar 201799
Jun 201793
Sept 2017117
Dec 2017120
Mar 2018123
Jun 2018126
Sept 2018141
Dec 2018134
Mar 2019152
Jun 2019145
Sept 2019150
Dec 2019138
Mar 2020133
Jun 2020146
Sept 2020130
Dec 2020129
Mar 2021118
Jun 2021121
Sept 2021114
Dec 2021121
Mar 2022132
Jun 2022135
Sept 2022145
Dec 2022367
Mar 2023352
Jun 2023418
Sept 2023490
Dec 2023191
Mar 2024228
Jun 2024213
Sept 2024217
Dec 2024213
Mar 2025186
Jun 2025224
Sept 2025239
Dec 2025245
Mar 2026245
Jun 2026238

Trend

-7Latest quarter change
+230Change across series
43Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation236
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only2
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
238
Homes for Ukraine
301
Afghan programme
40
Resettlement cumulative
98

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine301
Afghan programme40
Resettlement cumulative98

Population context

All pathways total579
Share of local population0.4%

Ethnic composition projection

Lancaster: White British 87.8% (2021) to 77.0% (2051). 80% CI: 75.8, 80.4%.

Ethnic composition: Lancaster

024487297% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 71% in 2061White Other 8% in 2061Asian 5% in 2061Mixed 6% in 2061Other 7% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Lancaster

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
92%
2021
88%
2031proj
85%
2041proj
82%
2051proj
77%
2061proj
71%
8%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Lancaster ranges from54.8% to 72.3%by 2051. That is a 17.5pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 61.3% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 2.0% (2021) → 3.2% (2051). Christian 55.5% → 14.2%.

Religion: Lancaster

021436486%Census 2021Christian 14% in 2051No religion 81% in 2051Muslim 3% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religionMuslim

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

9.5% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.3). 94.7% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Lancaster

527507396%Census 2021UK-born 54% in 2051Foreign-born 46% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 11.3% moved within UK, 1.3% arrived from abroad
black23.4% internal, 8.6% international
asian18.7% internal, 10.3% international
other18.2% internal, 7.7% international
mixed18.8% internal, 4.2% international
white other13.8% internal, 8.1% international
white british10.5% internal, 0.4% international

Why Lancaster is changing

-3.7pp
National trend
-6.2pp
Age structure
-0.9pp
Local migration
+3.4pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).