Trend
-118 Latest quarter change
+337 Change across series
48 Official data points
Redbridge
459 people housed on asylum support in Redbridge
Rank 67 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 14.29 per 10,000 puts Redbridge in the 68th percentile. That means a moderate load compared to the national picture. 105 in contingency accommodation (hotels, not housing). At roughly £150/person/day, that costs the taxpayer an estimated £25M per year for this area alone.
What asylum costs Redbridge
£9.0Mestimated hotel costs/year
£1.2Msubsistence payments/year
£551KLA dispersal grant/year
Estimates based on 459 people on asylum support in Redbridge (0.43% of 107,003 nationally). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend (2024/25 average, NAO). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person. Nationally, the hotel bill alone costs £62 per taxpayer per year.
Redbridge: asylum numbers falling
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 325
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 29
Contingency accommodation 105
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine 980
Afghan programme 32
Resettlement cumulative 15
Population context
All pathways total 1,471
Share of local population 0.46%
Ethnic composition projection
Redbridge: WBI 23.1% (2021) → 3.9% (2051). 80% CI: 3.7–4.4%.
Ethnic composition: Redbridge
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other 80% CI
Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.
Ethnic composition: Redbridge
Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.
Scenario explorer
Under different assumptions, White British share in Redbridge ranges from 12.4% to 13.8% by 2051. That is a 1.4pp spread.
Fertility
Low ~108k/yr
Principal ~315k/yr
High ~476k/yr
Constant Rates stay at current levels
Half convergence Move halfway to national avg
Full convergence Converge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 13.0% by 2051
Religion projection
Muslim 33.2% (2021) → 58.9% (2051). Christian 32.3% → 13.4%.
Religion: Redbridge
Christian No religion Muslim Hindu Sikh
Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.
Nativity
43.6% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: highly diverse (entropy 0.8). 73.6% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born: Redbridge
UK-born Foreign-born
Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.
high immigration gateway: High foreign-born share means ethnic change is migration-driven. Future projections are sensitive to immigration policy.
Census 2021 mobility: 8.1% moved within UK, 1.3% arrived from abroad
white other 13.3% internal, 2.2% international
mixed 9.1% internal, 0.6% international
black 8.7% internal, 0.8% international
other 7.8% internal, 1.7% international
asian 7.6% internal, 1.6% international
white british 6% internal, 0.3% international
Why Redbridge is changing
-11.4ppWhite British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: local migration. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Full demographic profile
School pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.
View Redbridge on UK Demographics →
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British 60.8%
Mixed 67.5%
White Other 76.9%
Other 60.9%
Homeownership rate
White British 62.4%
Mixed 45.1%
White Other 33.9%
Other 53.3%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British 43%
Mixed 41.5%
White Other 40.4%
Other 39.8%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
School ethnicity
DfE School Census 2024/25: 56,672 pupils. 10.5% White British. Schools are 12.7pp more diverse than the general population.
Pupil ethnicity
Asian 58.7%
White Other 11.9%
White British 10.5%
Mixed 8.5%
Black 8.4%
Other 1.9%
What this means
Schools are 13pp more diverse than the general population. Schools show the future.
89.5% Minority pupils now
93.9% Projected 2041
Demographic pipeline
11.7% Primary WBI
9.3% Secondary WBI
Stable demographic pipeline.
Fertility proxy (10-year school trend): WBI share in primary schools changing at -0.28pp/year. Gradual diversification in school-age population.
Source & validation
DfE School Census 2024/25. State-funded schools. Upper-tier LA level. Validated against Census 2021 ages 4-15: Census WBI 14.3% vs school 10.5% (-3.8pp gap).
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
NHS and council services will need increased interpreter/translation provision.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
Significant additional EAL (English as Additional Language) support likely needed.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
459 National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
14.29 Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
105 Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 6 in London by supported asylum.