London

Redbridge

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
413 people on asylum support in Redbridge

Rank 74 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 12.83 per 10,000 puts Redbridge in the 67th percentile. That means a moderate load compared to the national picture. 26 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. 69 in contingency accommodation (hotels, not housing). Accommodation and support for 413 people at £107 per person per day is about £16.1M a year.

What asylum costs Redbridge

£9.3Mestimated hotel costs/year
£1.1Msubsistence payments/year
£496KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 413 people on asylum support in Redbridge(0.44% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Redbridge: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

511
1,2268174090Mar 2014Dec 2025Peak Dec 2022Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 2014174
Jun 2014189
Sept 2014172
Dec 2014169
Mar 2015166
Jun 2015180
Sept 2015183
Dec 2015193
Mar 2016249
Jun 2016405
Sept 2016661
Dec 2016769
Mar 2017806
Jun 2017759
Sept 2017769
Dec 2017784
Mar 2018906
Jun 2018830
Sept 2018816
Dec 2018781
Mar 2019762
Jun 2019753
Sept 2019717
Dec 2019642
Mar 2020648
Jun 2020643
Sept 2020660
Dec 2020655
Mar 2021623
Jun 2021602
Sept 2021601
Dec 2021714
Mar 2022569
Jun 2022581
Sept 2022572
Dec 20221,226
Mar 20231,172
Jun 20231,074
Sept 20231,119
Dec 2023933
Mar 2024876
Jun 2024794
Sept 2024793
Dec 2024650
Mar 2025649
Jun 2025602
Sept 2025629
Dec 2025511

Trend

-118Latest quarter change
+337Change across series
48Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation318
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only26
Contingency accommodation69

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
413
Homes for Ukraine
1,001
Afghan programme
30
Resettlement cumulative
15

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine1,001
Afghan programme30
Resettlement cumulative15

Population context

All pathways total1,444
Share of local population0.45%

Ethnic composition projection

Redbridge: White British 23.1% (2021) to 4.9% (2051). 80% CI: 4.6, 5.5%.

Ethnic composition: Redbridge

017335066% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 3% in 2061White Other 11% in 2061Asian 61% in 2061Black 4% in 2061Mixed 5% in 2061Other 16% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Redbridge

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
35%
8%
42%
11%
2021
23%
12%
47%
8%
2031proj
15%
13%
52%
2041proj
9%
13%
55%
11%
2051proj
13%
58%
13%
2061proj
11%
61%
16%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Redbridge ranges from12.4% to 13.8%by 2051. That is a 1.4pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 13.0% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 33.2% (2021) → 58.9% (2051). Christian 32.3% → 13.4%.

Religion: Redbridge

016324864%Census 2021Christian 13% in 2051No religion 15% in 2051Muslim 59% in 2051Hindu 8% in 2051Sikh 3% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religionMuslimHinduSikh

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

43.6% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: highly diverse (entropy 0.8). 73.6% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Redbridge

1733506783%Census 2021UK-born 22% in 2051Foreign-born 78% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

high immigration gateway: High foreign-born share means ethnic change is migration-driven. Future projections are sensitive to immigration policy.

Census 2021 mobility: 8.1% moved within UK, 1.3% arrived from abroad
white other13.3% internal, 2.2% international
mixed9.1% internal, 0.6% international
black8.7% internal, 0.8% international
other7.8% internal, 1.7% international
asian7.6% internal, 1.6% international
white british6% internal, 0.3% international

Why Redbridge is changing

-11.4pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
+3.6pp
Local migration
-8.6pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: local migration. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).