asylumstatsFollow the money
North West

Rossendale

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Andy MacNae
Andy MacNaeLabour · Rossendale and Darwen
238 people on asylum support in Rossendale

Rank 121 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 32.3 per 10,000 puts Rossendale in the 92nd percentile. That means this area carries more asylum seekers per head than 90% of the country. Accommodation and support for 238 people at £107 per person per day is about £9.3M a year.

What asylum costs Rossendale

£5.4Mestimated hotel costs/year
£609Ksubsistence payments/year
£286KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 238 people on asylum support in Rossendale(0.26% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Rossendale: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

243
255170850Jun 2016Dec 2025Peak Jun 2025Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Jun 201622
Sept 201643
Dec 201660
Mar 201755
Jun 201753
Sept 201762
Dec 201770
Mar 201886
Jun 201894
Sept 2018111
Dec 2018120
Mar 2019120
Jun 2019111
Sept 2019107
Dec 2019102
Mar 2020109
Jun 2020112
Sept 2020104
Dec 2020102
Mar 2021105
Jun 2021120
Sept 2021122
Dec 2021136
Mar 2022139
Jun 2022145
Sept 2022150
Dec 2022138
Mar 2023138
Jun 2023200
Sept 2023198
Dec 2023172
Mar 2024223
Jun 2024228
Sept 2024242
Dec 2024249
Mar 2025252
Jun 2025255
Sept 2025245
Dec 2025243

Trend

-2Latest quarter change
+221Change across series
39Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation238
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only0
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
238
Homes for Ukraine
105
Afghan programme
20
Resettlement cumulative
40

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine105
Afghan programme20
Resettlement cumulative40

Population context

All pathways total363
Share of local population0.49%

Ethnic composition projection

Rossendale: White British 90.5% (2021) to 80.6% (2051). 80% CI: 80, 83%.

Ethnic composition: Rossendale

024487397% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 74% in 2061Asian 12% in 2061Mixed 9% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishAsianMixed 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Rossendale

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
92%
2021
90%
2031proj
88%
2041proj
85%
8%
2051proj
81%
10%
2061proj
74%
12%
9%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Rossendale ranges from44.0% to 70.2%by 2051. That is a 26.2pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 52.5% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 5.2% (2021) → 5.2% (2051). Christian 51.5% → 11.1%.

Religion: Rossendale

022446688%Census 2021Christian 11% in 2051No religion 83% in 2051Muslim 5% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religionMuslim

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

5% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.24). 97.8% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Rossendale

0255075100%Census 2021UK-born 70% in 2051Foreign-born 30% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 7.3% moved within UK, 0.3% arrived from abroad
mixed12.8% internal, 0.4% international
other8.3% internal, 3.4% international
black9.8% internal, 1.2% international
white other7.4% internal, 1.6% international
white british7.3% internal, 0.2% international
asian6.5% internal, 0.9% international

Why Rossendale is changing

-1.5pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1pp
Local migration
+5.8pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Rossendale on UK Demographics →