Yorkshire and The Humber

Rotherham

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Sarah Champion
Sarah ChampionLabour · Rotherham
388 people on asylum support in Rotherham

Rank 78 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 13.9 per 10,000 puts Rotherham in the 68th percentile. That means a moderate load compared to the national picture. 10 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 388 people at £107 per person per day is about £15.2M a year.

What asylum costs Rotherham

£8.8Mestimated hotel costs/year
£992Ksubsistence payments/year
£466KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 388 people on asylum support in Rotherham(0.42% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Rotherham: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

445
7835222610Mar 2014Dec 2025Peak Mar 2023Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 2014377
Jun 2014342
Sept 2014308
Dec 2014313
Mar 2015334
Jun 2015334
Sept 2015367
Dec 2015375
Mar 2016388
Jun 2016400
Sept 2016409
Dec 2016414
Mar 2017391
Jun 2017407
Sept 2017402
Dec 2017405
Mar 2018443
Jun 2018427
Sept 2018416
Dec 2018447
Mar 2019478
Jun 2019471
Sept 2019471
Dec 2019445
Mar 2020441
Jun 2020456
Sept 2020449
Dec 2020448
Mar 2021443
Jun 2021528
Sept 2021486
Dec 2021583
Mar 2022518
Jun 2022635
Sept 2022610
Dec 2022610
Mar 2023783
Jun 2023712
Sept 2023707
Dec 2023608
Mar 2024596
Jun 2024674
Sept 2024535
Dec 2024516
Mar 2025465
Jun 2025448
Sept 2025449
Dec 2025445

Trend

-4Latest quarter change
+68Change across series
48Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation378
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only10
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
388
Homes for Ukraine
288
Afghan programme
63
Resettlement cumulative
48

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine288
Afghan programme63
Resettlement cumulative48

Population context

All pathways total739
Share of local population0.26%

Ethnic composition projection

Rotherham: White British 88.3% (2021) to 70.3% (2051). 80% CI: 70.2, 74.3%.

Ethnic composition: Rotherham

024487397% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 61% in 2061White Other 8% in 2061Asian 12% in 2061Mixed 8% in 2061Other 9% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Rotherham

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
92%
2021
88%
2031proj
84%
2041proj
78%
8%
2051proj
70%
10%
2061proj
61%
8%
12%
9%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Rotherham ranges from64.0% to 76.2%by 2051. That is a 12.2pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 68.9% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 5.3% (2021) → 4.9% (2051). Christian 51.6% → 7.6%.

Religion: Rotherham

023466891%Census 2021Christian 8% in 2051No religion 86% in 2051Muslim 5% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religionMuslim

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

6.8% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.29). 95.9% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Rotherham

226507498%Census 2021UK-born 75% in 2051Foreign-born 25% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 6.9% moved within UK, 0.3% arrived from abroad
black13.1% internal, 2.7% international
white other11.8% internal, 2.6% international
other11.1% internal, 2.5% international
mixed11.3% internal, 0.6% international
asian6.7% internal, 1.3% international
white british6.6% internal, 0.1% international

Why Rotherham is changing

-3.7pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-0.9pp
Local migration
+3.7pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).