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North West

Tameside

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
488 people on asylum support in Tameside

Rank 62 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 20.26 per 10,000 puts Tameside in the 82nd percentile. That means this area carries more than most. White British projected to be a minority by approximately 2057. 11 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 488 people at £107 per person per day is about £19.1M a year.

What asylum costs Tameside

£11.0Mestimated hotel costs/year
£1.2Msubsistence payments/year
£586KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 488 people on asylum support in Tameside(0.52% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Tameside: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

508
6284192090Mar 2014Dec 2025Peak Mar 2019Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 2014196
Jun 2014200
Sept 2014213
Dec 2014220
Mar 2015249
Jun 2015253
Sept 2015268
Dec 2015309
Mar 2016362
Jun 2016385
Sept 2016387
Dec 2016414
Mar 2017436
Jun 2017442
Sept 2017468
Dec 2017479
Mar 2018567
Jun 2018582
Sept 2018611
Dec 2018620
Mar 2019628
Jun 2019607
Sept 2019579
Dec 2019583
Mar 2020588
Jun 2020610
Sept 2020613
Dec 2020578
Mar 2021542
Jun 2021523
Sept 2021488
Dec 2021478
Mar 2022470
Jun 2022473
Sept 2022474
Dec 2022464
Mar 2023456
Jun 2023510
Sept 2023521
Dec 2023476
Mar 2024510
Jun 2024512
Sept 2024528
Dec 2024536
Mar 2025535
Jun 2025533
Sept 2025515
Dec 2025508

Trend

-7Latest quarter change
+312Change across series
48Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation477
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only11
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
488
Homes for Ukraine
335
Afghan programme
38
Resettlement cumulative
13

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine335
Afghan programme38
Resettlement cumulative13

Population context

All pathways total861
Share of local population0.36%

Ethnic composition projection

Tameside: White British 82.4% (2021) to 56.9% (2051). White British minority by ~2057. 80% CI: 55.4, 60.9%.

Ethnic composition: Tameside

023477094% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 45% in 2061White Other 4% in 2061Asian 25% in 2061Black 12% in 2061Mixed 8% in 2061Other 5% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Tameside

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
89%
2021
82%
9%
2031proj
76%
12%
2041proj
67%
16%
2051proj
57%
21%
9%
2061proj
45%
25%
12%
8%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Tameside ranges from57.4% to 69.4%by 2051. That is a 12pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 62.2% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 7.7% (2021) → 15.4% (2051). Christian 50.2% → 9.3%.

Religion: Tameside

322416079%Census 2021Christian 9% in 2051No religion 74% in 2051Muslim 15% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religionMuslim

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

10.3% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: moderately diverse (entropy 0.39). 94.1% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Tameside

528507295%Census 2021UK-born 65% in 2051Foreign-born 35% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

emerging diversity: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 6.6% moved within UK, 0.4% arrived from abroad
black13.2% internal, 2.5% international
other11.9% internal, 3.7% international
mixed10.3% internal, 0.8% international
white other8.4% internal, 1.7% international
asian5.7% internal, 1.8% international
white british6.3% internal, 0.1% international

Why Tameside is changing

-6.2pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-0.7pp
Local migration
+0.9pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Tameside on UK Demographics →