Trend
-1 Latest quarter change
+111 Change across series
11 Official data points
Westmorland and Furness
Michelle Scrogham
2 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping Westmorland and Furness.
235 people housed on asylum support in Westmorland and Furness
Rank 127 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 10.21 per 10,000 puts Westmorland and Furness in the 61st percentile. That means a moderate load compared to the national picture. At roughly £150/person/day, that costs the taxpayer an estimated £13M per year for this area alone.
What asylum costs Westmorland and Furness
£4.6Mestimated hotel costs/year
£601Ksubsistence payments/year
£282KLA dispersal grant/year
Estimates based on 235 people on asylum support in Westmorland and Furness (0.22% of 107,003 nationally). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend (2024/25 average, NAO). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person. Nationally, the hotel bill alone costs £62 per taxpayer per year.
Westmorland and Furness: asylum numbers falling
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 233
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 2
Contingency accommodation 0
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine 604
Afghan programme 105
Resettlement cumulative 13
Population context
All pathways total 944
Share of local population 0.41%
Ethnic composition projection
Westmorland and Furness: WBI 94.6% (2021) → 77.6% (2051).
Ethnic composition: Westmorland and Furness
White British White Other Asian
Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.
Ethnic composition: Westmorland and Furness
Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.
Scenario explorer
Under different assumptions, White British share in Westmorland and Furness ranges from 67.0% to 84.1% by 2051. That is a 17pp spread.
Fertility
Low ~108k/yr
Principal ~315k/yr
High ~476k/yr
Constant Rates stay at current levels
Half convergence Move halfway to national avg
Full convergence Converge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 73.6% by 2051
Full demographic profile
School pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.
View Westmorland and Furness on UK Demographics →
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British 57.9%
Mixed 69.8%
White Other 75.7%
Other 70.9%
Homeownership rate
White British 73.2%
Mixed 53.1%
White Other 42.5%
Other 39.5%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British 32.7%
Mixed 42%
White Other 44.3%
Other 39.1%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
School ethnicity
DfE School Census 2024/25: 29,936 pupils. 91.1% White British.
Pupil ethnicity
White British 91.1%
White Other 3.3%
Mixed 2.5%
Asian 1.5%
Black 0.9%
Other 0.7%
What this means
School and population ethnic composition are closely aligned.
8.9% Minority pupils now
21.5% Projected 2041
Demographic pipeline
91.1% Primary WBI
90.9% Secondary WBI
Stable demographic pipeline.
Source & validation
DfE School Census 2024/25. State-funded schools. Upper-tier LA level.
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.
foreign-born growth to 2051
Housing demand growth from demographic change is moderate.
EAL growth
EAL demand growth is moderate.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
235 National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
10.21 Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
0 Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 6 in North West by supported asylum.