North West

Wyre

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Cat Smith
Cat SmithLabour · Lancaster and Wyre

2 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping Wyre.

361 people on asylum support in Wyre

Rank 87 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 29.95 per 10,000 puts Wyre in the 91st percentile. That means this area carries more asylum seekers per head than 90% of the country. Accommodation and support for 361 people at £107 per person per day is about £14.1M a year.

What asylum costs Wyre

£8.1Mestimated hotel costs/year
£923Ksubsistence payments/year
£433KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 361 people on asylum support in Wyre(0.39% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Wyre: asylum numbers still rising

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

364
3762511250Jun 2015Dec 2025Peak Mar 2025Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Jun 20152
Sept 20152
Dec 20152
Mar 20162
Jun 20162
Sept 20167
Dec 20167
Mar 201713
Jun 201719
Sept 201715
Dec 201721
Mar 201821
Jun 201822
Sept 201822
Dec 201822
Mar 201922
Jun 201921
Sept 201918
Dec 201923
Mar 202020
Jun 202022
Sept 202013
Dec 202017
Mar 202116
Jun 202123
Sept 202128
Dec 202136
Mar 202241
Jun 202243
Sept 202241
Dec 202249
Mar 202372
Jun 2023127
Sept 2023150
Dec 2023182
Mar 2024209
Jun 2024263
Sept 2024276
Dec 2024259
Mar 2025376
Jun 2025369
Sept 2025363
Dec 2025364

Trend

+1Latest quarter change
+362Change across series
43Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation361
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only0
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
361
Homes for Ukraine
133
Afghan programme
25
Resettlement cumulative
83

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine133
Afghan programme25
Resettlement cumulative83

Population context

All pathways total519
Share of local population0.43%

Ethnic composition projection

Wyre: White British 95.7% (2021) to 92.1% (2051). 80% CI: 91.8, 93.4%.

Ethnic composition: Wyre

0255075100% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 89% in 2061Mixed 5% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishMixed 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Wyre

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
97%
2021
96%
2031proj
95%
2041proj
94%
2051proj
92%
2061proj
89%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Wyre ranges from54.1% to 79.9%by 2051. That is a 25.8pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 63.0% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 0.4% (2021) → 0.4% (2051). Christian 63.1% → 11.8%.

Religion: Wyre

728497192%Census 2021Christian 12% in 2051No religion 87% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

3.7% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.13). 98.7% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Wyre

0255075100%Census 2021UK-born 76% in 2051Foreign-born 24% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 9.1% moved within UK, 0.4% arrived from abroad
black24.1% internal, 4.4% international
other13.8% internal, 3.4% international
white other12.4% internal, 4.2% international
mixed14.8% internal, 1.2% international
asian9.6% internal, 4.1% international
white british9% internal, 0.2% international

Why Wyre is changing

-1pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1.3pp
Local migration
+6.7pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: local migration. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).