asylumstatsFollow the money
Yorkshire and The Humber

York

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Rachael Maskell
Rachael MaskellLabour (Co-op) · York Central

2 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping York.

366 people on asylum support in York

Rank 86 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 17.5 per 10,000 puts York in the 77th percentile. That means this area carries more than most. 6 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. 360 in contingency accommodation (hotels, not housing). Accommodation and support for 366 people at £107 per person per day is about £14.3M a year.

What asylum costs York

£8.3Mestimated hotel costs/year
£936Ksubsistence payments/year
£439KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 366 people on asylum support in York(0.39% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

York: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

272
4272851420Sept 2020Dec 2025Peak Mar 2023Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Sept 20202
Dec 20202
Mar 20213
Jun 202157
Sept 202153
Dec 202145
Mar 202244
Jun 202238
Sept 202232
Dec 202240
Mar 2023427
Jun 2023415
Sept 2023419
Dec 2023332
Mar 2024181
Jun 2024241
Sept 2024410
Dec 2024352
Mar 2025386
Jun 2025322
Sept 2025393
Dec 2025272

Trend

-121Latest quarter change
+270Change across series
22Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation0
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only6
Contingency accommodation360

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
366
Homes for Ukraine
443
Afghan programme
151
Resettlement cumulative
111

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine443
Afghan programme151
Resettlement cumulative111

Population context

All pathways total960
Share of local population0.46%

Ethnic composition projection

York: White British 87.3% (2021) to 76.3% (2051). 80% CI: 75.1, 80.2%.

Ethnic composition: York

024487195% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 71% in 2061White Other 10% in 2061Asian 4% in 2061Mixed 7% in 2061Other 6% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: York

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
90%
2021
87%
2031proj
85%
2041proj
81%
8%
2051proj
76%
9%
2061proj
71%
10%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in York ranges from61.0% to 74.8%by 2051. That is a 13.7pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 66.4% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 1.3% (2021) → 1.1% (2051). Christian 47.1% → 9.3%.

Religion: York

426487092%Census 2021Christian 9% in 2051No religion 87% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

10.8% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: moderately diverse (entropy 0.31). 94.9% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: York

628507294%Census 2021UK-born 64% in 2051Foreign-born 36% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

emerging diversity: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 13% moved within UK, 1.3% arrived from abroad
asian18.7% internal, 12.9% international
black20.8% internal, 8.5% international
mixed23.2% internal, 2.4% international
other16.8% internal, 8.2% international
white other16.7% internal, 4.6% international
white british12.3% internal, 0.4% international

Why York is changing

-2.9pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-0.8pp
Local migration
+4.2pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View York on UK Demographics →